tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Antonio via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 60%

  1. 08:15 JFK → 11:11 DFW
    AA 2234 · American · 3h 56m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:01 DFW → 13:11 SAT
    AA 4084 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 10m · 79% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 56mJFK 08:15 to SAT 13:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.