tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 22:10 ONT → 05:48 CLT
    AA 2237 · American · 4h 38m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:36 CLT → 11:32 LGA +1 day
    DL 5068 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 83% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 22mONT 22:10 to LGA 11:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.