tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 22:10 ONT → 05:48 CLT
    AA 2237 · American · 4h 38m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 CLT → 09:01 LGA +1 day
    AA 2043 · American · 1h 56m · 88% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 51mONT 22:10 to LGA 09:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.