tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 89%

  1. 05:00 DCA → 07:22 DFW
    AA 2243 · American · 3h 22m · 93% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:31 DFW → 12:48 SDF
    AA 3791 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 17m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 48mDCA 05:00 to SDF 12:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.