tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Austin via Phoenix: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:11 ONT → 14:33 PHX
    AA 2244 · American · 1h 22m · 86% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 PHX → 19:43 AUS
    AA 2892 · American · 2h 18m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 32mONT 13:11 to AUS 19:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.