tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Pittsburgh via Chicago: arrives on time 25%

  1. 14:20 EWR → 16:15 ORD
    AA 2250 · American · 2h 55m · 57% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:19 ORD → 19:57 PIT
    AA 2296 · American · 1h 39m · 49% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 38mEWR 14:20 to PIT 19:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.