tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Kansas City via Chicago: arrives on time 29%

  1. 14:20 EWR → 16:15 ORD
    AA 2250 · American · 2h 55m · 57% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 ORD → 19:14 MCI
    AA 6399 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 48m · 50% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 58mEWR 14:20 to MCI 19:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.