tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dulles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 14:59 ORD → 17:36 DFW
    AA 2257 · American · 2h 36m · 65% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:44 DFW → 22:46 IAD
    AA 1132 · American · 3h 08m · 47% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 53mORD 14:59 to IAD 22:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.