tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Anchorage via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:59 ORD → 17:36 DFW
    AA 2257 · American · 2h 36m · 65% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 DFW → 22:39 ANC
    AA 395 · American · 6h 59m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip10h 40mORD 14:59 to ANC 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.