tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Springfield via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:59 ORD → 17:36 DFW
    AA 2257 · American · 2h 36m · 65% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:01 DFW → 20:31 SGF
    AA 3671 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 32mORD 14:59 to SGF 20:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.