tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 05:30 STL → 07:29 DFW
    AA 2261 · American · 1h 58m · 92% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 DFW → 10:28 SFO
    AA 1849 · American · 3h 48m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 58mSTL 05:30 to SFO 10:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.