tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:30 STL → 07:29 DFW
    AA 2261 · American · 1h 58m · 92% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DFW → 10:08 SMF
    AA 2633 · American · 3h 38m · 82% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 38mSTL 05:30 to SMF 10:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.