tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Philadelphia via Norfolk: arrives on time 42%

  1. 10:21 DFW → 14:22 ORF
    AA 2262 · American · 3h 01m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Norfolk (ORF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:31 ORF → 16:50 PHL
    AA 5859 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 19m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 29mDFW 10:21 to PHL 16:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.