tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Denver via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:17 ORF → 17:41 DFW
    AA 2262 · American · 3h 24m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 DFW → 19:41 DEN
    AA 2235 · American · 2h 11m · 46% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 24mORF 15:17 to DEN 19:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.