tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:21 SRQ → 08:15 CLT
    AA 2264 · American · 1h 54m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:08 CLT → 14:23 ORD
    AA 2530 · American · 2h 15m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 248 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 53m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 02mSRQ 06:21 to ORD 14:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.