tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:21 SRQ → 08:15 CLT
    AA 2264 · American · 1h 54m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:35 CLT → 11:59 ORD
    UA 4680 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 38mSRQ 06:21 to ORD 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.