tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 18%

  1. 18:56 ORF → 21:19 DFW
    AA 2265 · American · 3h 23m · 42% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:12 DFW → 00:50 ORD +1 day
    AA 1193 · American · 2h 38m · 55% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 54mORF 18:56 to ORD 00:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.