tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 57%

  1. 05:45 TPA → 07:36 DFW
    AA 2268 · American · 2h 51m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 DFW → 09:47 IAH
    AA 1916 · American · 1h 12m · 67% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 02mTPA 05:45 to IAH 09:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.