tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 87%

  1. 05:45 TPA → 07:36 DFW
    AA 2268 · American · 2h 51m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:31 DFW → 12:48 SDF
    AA 3791 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 17m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 03mTPA 05:45 to SDF 12:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.