tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

West Palm Beach → Houston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:08 PBI → 18:58 PHL
    AA 2280 · American · 2h 49m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 PHL → 22:49 IAH
    AA 3021 · American · 3h 54m · 70% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind West Palm Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 41mPBI 16:08 to IAH 22:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.