tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

West Palm Beach → Providence via Washington: arrives on time 29%

  1. 15:27 PBI → 18:00 DCA
    AA 2281 · American · 2h 33m · 58% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 DCA → 20:34 PVD
    AA 4679 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 65% on time, 20.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (20.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 07mPBI 15:27 to PVD 20:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.