tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 11:41 SNA → 17:50 ORD
    AA 2285 · American · 4h 14m · 68% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 ORD → 22:40 MCO
    AA 3176 · American · 2h 55m · 53% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip7h 59mSNA 11:41 to MCO 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.