tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 13:34 PDX → 19:31 DFW
    AA 2286 · American · 3h 56m · 65% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 DFW → 00:35 PHL +1 day
    AA 2542 · American · 3h 16m · 56% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 01mPDX 13:34 to PHL 00:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.