tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fresno via Phoenix: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:28 PDX → 20:10 PHX
    AA 2288 · American · 2h 42m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:31 PHX → 23:07 FAT
    AA 3174 · American · 1h 36m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 39mPDX 17:28 to FAT 23:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.