tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Orlando via Phoenix: arrives on time 60%

  1. 17:28 PDX → 20:10 PHX
    AA 2288 · American · 2h 42m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:51 PHX → 05:00 MCO +1 day
    AA 563 · American · 4h 09m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 32mPDX 17:28 to MCO 05:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.