tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bangor → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 12:29 BGR → 14:40 ORD
    AA 2299 · American · 3h 10m · 77% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:29 ORD → 18:47 PHL
    AA 2819 · American · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 18mBGR 12:29 to PHL 18:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.