tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Pittsburgh via Philadelphia: arrives on time 53%

  1. 08:54 PHX → 16:42 PHL
    AA 2300 · American · 4h 48m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 PHL → 19:12 PIT
    AA 6092 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 32m · 69% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 18mPHX 08:54 to PIT 19:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.