tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Washington via Boston: arrives on time 17%

  1. 15:08 ORD → 18:47 BOS
    AA 2303 · American · 2h 39m · 49% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 BOS → 21:30 DCA
    AA 2961 · American · 1h 45m · 38% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 22mORD 15:08 to DCA 21:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.