tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:40 DCA → 09:00 ORD
    AA 2304 · American · 2h 17m · 83% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ORD → 13:01 CVG
    AA 4412 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 21mDCA 07:40 to CVG 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.