tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:36 PIT → 17:15 CLT
    AA 2309 · American · 1h 39m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:02 CLT → 20:06 JFK
    AA 657 · American · 2h 04m · 58% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 30mPIT 15:36 to JFK 20:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.