tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Washington via Philadelphia: arrives on time 23%

  1. 17:05 PIT → 18:34 PHL
    AA 2312 · American · 1h 23m · 63% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:25 PHL → 20:41 DCA
    AA 5019 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 16m · 54% on time, 16.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (16.3% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip3h 36mPIT 17:05 to DCA 20:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.