tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 19:22 PVD → 21:43 CLT
    AA 2338 · American · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 00:17 MCO +1 day
    AA 1879 · American · 1h 48m · 64% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 55mPVD 19:22 to MCO 00:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.