Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 37%
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17:00 JFK → 19:31 PHXAA 2339 · American · 5h 31m · 78% on time, 2.9% cancelled
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50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:21 PHX → 00:48 DFW +1 dayAA 2603 · American · 2h 27m · 61% on time, 10.2% cancelled
Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (10.2% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip8h 48mJFK 17:00 to DFW 00:48, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.