tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:25 PWM → 17:02 CLT
    AA 2348 · American · 2h 35m · 76% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 CLT → 19:45 LGA
    AA 1060 · American · 2h 00m · 62% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 25mPWM 14:25 to LGA 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.