tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Washington: arrives on time 19%

  1. 17:17 PWM → 19:10 DCA
    AA 2355 · American · 1h 52m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:58 DCA → 21:30 JFK
    AA 4474 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 32m · 50% on time, 27.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 18 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (27.3% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 13mPWM 17:17 to JFK 21:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.