tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:22 PHL → 19:09 DFW
    AA 2356 · American · 3h 47m · 69% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DFW → 23:19 SDF
    AA 1365 · American · 2h 10m · 41% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip6h 58mPHL 16:22 to SDF 23:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.