tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:22 PHL → 19:09 DFW
    AA 2356 · American · 3h 47m · 69% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:13 DFW → 22:26 SEA
    AA 2003 · American · 4h 13m · 55% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip9h 04mPHL 16:22 to SEA 22:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.