tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Kansas City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:22 PHL → 19:09 DFW
    AA 2356 · American · 3h 47m · 69% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 DFW → 21:57 MCI
    AA 2267 · American · 1h 38m · 56% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 35mPHL 16:22 to MCI 21:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.