tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:22 PHL → 19:09 DFW
    AA 2356 · American · 3h 47m · 69% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 DFW → 21:18 XNA
    AA 4101 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 23m · 71% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 56mPHL 16:22 to XNA 21:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.