tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Madison via Philadelphia: arrives on time 64%

  1. 05:05 DFW → 09:22 PHL
    AA 2358 · American · 3h 17m · 90% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:06 MSN
    AA 5310 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 36m · 79% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 01mDFW 05:05 to MSN 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.