tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 12:39 DEN → 15:46 DFW
    AA 2359 · American · 2h 07m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:43 DFW → 18:20 SMF
    AA 651 · American · 3h 37m · 57% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 41mDEN 12:39 to SMF 18:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.