tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:22 RDU → 19:01 PHL
    AA 2360 · American · 1h 39m · 47% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:04 PHL → 23:59 DTW
    AA 5169 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 37mRDU 17:22 to DTW 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.