tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Los Angeles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 19%

  1. 19:31 RDU → 21:43 DFW
    AA 2361 · American · 3h 12m · 49% on time, 8.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:31 DFW → 23:45 LAX
    AA 1504 · American · 3h 14m · 61% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (8.7% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 14mRDU 19:31 to LAX 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.