tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 21%

  1. 19:31 RDU → 21:43 DFW
    AA 2361 · American · 3h 12m · 49% on time, 8.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:47 DFW → 23:58 IAH
    AA 1914 · American · 1h 11m · 45% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (8.7% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip5h 27mRDU 19:31 to IAH 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.