tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 58%

  1. 08:54 RDU → 10:19 CLT
    AA 2362 · American · 1h 25m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 CLT → 12:38 IAD
    AA 5220 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip3h 44mRDU 08:54 to IAD 12:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.