tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 11:41 RDU → 13:45 DFW
    AA 2366 · American · 3h 04m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:33 DFW → 16:47 SEA
    AA 727 · American · 4h 14m · 57% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip8h 06mRDU 11:41 to SEA 16:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.