tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Los Angeles: arrives on time 79%

  1. 14:55 PHX → 16:19 LAX
    AA 2368 · American · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:49 LAX → 23:17 XNA
    AA 6187 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 28m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 22mPHX 14:55 to XNA 23:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.