Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 60%
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07:02 JFK → 09:18 PHXAA 2369 · American · 5h 16m · 88% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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47m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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10:05 PHX → 12:49 PDXAA 1625 · American · 2h 44m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 47mJFK 07:02 to PDX 12:49, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.