tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Ontario via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:02 JFK → 09:18 PHX
    AA 2369 · American · 5h 16m · 88% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PHX → 12:02 ONT
    AA 2244 · American · 1h 17m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 00mJFK 07:02 to ONT 12:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.