Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 53%
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07:02 JFK → 09:18 PHXAA 2369 · American · 5h 16m · 88% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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10:04 PHX → 12:04 SMFAA 2630 · American · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 02mJFK 07:02 to SMF 12:04, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.